This paper one looks good to me. It looks very similar one that Roger got on a pickguard shortly before MJ died.
I think your call is usually right on Michael Jacksons, but I don't think this one is genuine. I think it's traced from a genuine one in the style you mentioned.
First, parts of the autograph are signed slowly, most evident in the beginning of the "M".
But what stands out the most to me is the "e" of Michael. Not only is it written mistakenly like a small "L", like the better Julien's Auctions MJ forgeries; but when you enlarge the photo you can see that the loop of the "L" was added after the name was signed. The stroke from the "a" to the "e" doesn't extend to the loop.
I'm still not sold that its not legit. The thing that would concern me more on this one is that the ackson part is actually a little more heavy handed than he normally writes.
He's so damn hard to authenticate because he changed soooo much over the years, yet there's little things I like in this one that remind me of authentic ones.
You know me though, I'd dissect it to death if I was going to buy it, and THEN it would go to Roger for a final look. :)
BTW speaking of Juliens you need to go take a look at some of the upcoming Jacksons there. Some of them have been brought up here already that are absolute forgeries. I believe I saw one Dbl L as well, but I didn't bookmark it. I'll go through it one of these days and pick it apart
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