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What are the chances of these being real vs autopen?
I don't think she's used an autopen before. It's probably fair to question the quality of the signatures at this point though, considering she went with MTS initials only for the CD signing several weeks ago.
I think the first picture disk over the summer signed on the plastic was fake/
Also, note that the picture discs will likely be signed on the transparent plastic sleeve.
These are the same ones that James D. posted about in May, right?:
If so, I got the impression that they were ghost-signed. At the time they were being signed with a full "Meg thee Stallion," and not MTS like the other CDs.