I purchased this 78 vinyl record purportedly signed by Billie Holiday from an RACC trusted seller. I recently submitted the item to JSA for authentication, and unfortunately it did not pass.

I originally submitted it in person at a show here in CA a few weeks ago, and I was disappointed by how carelessly the item was handled during intake. When I received it back, there were fingerprints all over it. I contacted JSA immediately to report the condition, and they did expedite the review process.

Yesterday I received their letter confirming that the autograph did not pass authentication. I’m extremely disappointed and unsure what my next step should be, or if anyone here might be able to offer advice.

Prior to purchasing the item, I did my research and examined the signature characteristics—such as the looping of “Billie” and the shape of the “H” in “Holiday.” However, upon further inspection, the signature appears to have been written in ballpoint pen. Additionally, the Blue Ace label is known to be a bootleg label, and this particular pressing seems to have been released slightly before the time of her passing. 

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That was before Roger—and before I did my own further research. I trust his assessment. This signature is being overanalyzed, especially by Pug, and it’s becoming ridiculous. The idea that someone bought it cheaply on eBay and then had it forged is just another far-fetched, made-up scenario.

That is precisely how it would be done. Buy a $25 copy and sign with the correct pen. Add age with a UV lamp...

That may be how it could be done, but if someone went through that effort, you’d expect more than just one example to surface.

Pug — 


Your write-up leans heavily on the assumption that Billie Holiday signed her name with rigid consistency—which just isn’t borne out by the broader body of authentic examples.

You’re pointing to a handful of recurring tendencies from a limited sample (primarily Heritage pieces), then treating those as fixed rules. They’re not. Even within verified authentic signatures, there’s noticeable variation in connective strokes, loop formation, pen lifts, and overall slant—especially across different writing conditions, surfaces, and periods of her life. A 78 label is not paper; it affects speed, pressure, and flow in ways that can easily account for differences in linkage and loop structure.

On the specific points:

  • The “H–o” connection and “o–l” movement do vary in known authentic signatures; neither is universally consistent.
  • Loop presence on letters like “d,” “a,” or even the “I” isn’t as rare as suggested—it shows up depending on pace and instrument.
  • Pen lifts, especially at the tail end of a signature, are far from unheard of when signing on an awkward surface.
  • Uniform height and reduced slant can just as easily reflect writing position and space constraints as anything else.

More importantly, the forgery theory doesn’t really hold up. If someone had the knowledge and intent to replicate a Billie Holiday signature at that level—studying exemplars, selecting the “correct” pen, even artificially aging it—you’d expect multiple outputs, not a one-off on a relatively niche format like a 78. That level of effort for a single piece with limited upside doesn’t make much sense.

At the end of the day, you’re speculating based on selective pattern matching. I’ve relied on experienced authentication and broader research, and I’m comfortable with that. Reasonable people can disagree, but this isn’t the kind of definitive “proof” it’s being presented as.

Thanks for your considered and non-emotional response Ryan. I can imagine you are sick to the back teeth of this discussion. I will confess to having taken an unhealthy interest in your 78 but as an owner of a Holiday myself, bought by lucky chance rather than design, I have enjoyed analyzing her autograph properly at last - or at least the surname part. I now feel that I can visualize her surname pen movements pretty exactly, whether it be for a formal document signature or a rushed in-person one.   

I agree that there are nearly always exceptions to rules and you will be able to find exceptions to each of the four "rules" I mentioned but I think the chances finding an autograph that does not comply with all four, and has other characteristics that look atypical, must be very remote. I have looked at all the $800+ RR examples and these confirm that there is a remarkable consistency in the surname, even if the autographs might look very different at first glance. To take one example, the only looped i that I can find at RR is the signed candid photo that sold twice at RR and is shown earlier in this discussion. That i is also rather different in appearance to yours. 

My forgery theory is certainly just speculation and prompted by my discovery (only yesterday) that these Blue Ace 78s are pretty common and cheap. I had previously imagined that they might command ten times what they seem to. I think it would be well worth a forger's time to fake even one signed 78. It would probably be the first Holiday-signed record on the market, if we ignore the signed plain record sleeve for "Strange Fruit" that is shown earlier in this discussion. My guess is that a signed 78 should realize way more than the $900 or so you paid an experienced dealer.      

As I said before, perhaps we should just agree to disagree. The main thing is that you are now happy with the autograph and with Roger's LOA you should be able to sell it for a good profit if you ever want or need to.  

I think your conclusion is leaning too heavily on constructing “rules” out of a relatively small and selective sample. Even the RR examples you’re referencing represent a narrow slice—primarily more formal or preserved signatures—rather than the full range of how Holiday actually signed in casual, in-person settings. Those rushed signatures are exactly where you tend to see deviations: irregular letter formation, inconsistent spacing, and variations like the “i” you’re focused on.

The idea that an authentic example must satisfy all four of your criteria simultaneously is where I think the analysis breaks down. In autograph authentication, especially with someone like Billie Holiday, natural variation is the rule—not the exception. If anything, signatures that look too consistent across every example are often the ones that deserve more scrutiny.

On the forgery theory, I understand how you got there, but it still requires a fairly specific chain of assumptions: that someone chose a low-value 78, applied a signature with multiple non-standard characteristics, and did so convincingly enough to pass professional authentication. That’s a much more complicated explanation than a genuine, informal signature that falls outside a perceived pattern.

At the end of the day, I’m comfortable relying on a combination of provenance, in-hand examination, and Roger’s assessment rather than a checklist approach built from auction archives alone.

And just to clarify one point on value—while a signed Holiday 78 is certainly desirable, it’s not necessarily the kind of format that commands a dramatic premium over what I paid. 

That's fair enough.

I wasn't thinking that all Billie's autographs have to conform to all four of my so-called "rules", just that you wouldn't expect one of her autographs not to conform with any of them. We can only analyze the exemplars that are available to analyze but I think the RR and Heritage populations are big enough to draw conclusions from.

I assume that professional authenticators also use a checklist approach based on known exemplars, at least to arrive at an initial assessment. If their authentication process costs only $150 - including the receipt, inspection and return shipment of the physical item - I doubt they spend hours and hours making final judgment calls either.  

What do you consider significantly more than $900? And why would a forger choose a Blue Ace 78 instead of something on Commodore, which would be far more valuable and make much more sense?

My initial gut feel was that such a signed record would be likely to fetch $5,000 or more, including fees. Maybe I was being too bullish but surely such a unique item would command at least $3,000, given that much more common items regularly sell for this.

Way back on 18 March Steve Cyrkin was of the view that $5,000 would be a low amount and that he wouldn't be surprised if it made $10,000.

As regards the record itself, I presume the Commodore version would be much harder to find and much more expensive - making the financial consequences of an unsuccessful forgery attempt a whole lot greater. 

You had asked how many Ace label 78's were on eBay and then I guess you pulled your question - there are 9 Blue Ace label Holidays on eBay right now. 

I initially asked: how many signed Blue Ace copies have you actually seen? Why has only 1 ever surfaced?

It was established earlier that there appear to be no signed 78's. I still think that true. 

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