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It certainly is a unique and desirable item, with a nice signature and face doodles. I'm not sure what a fair price would be, but hope you're able to add it to your collection.
Paul (H that is),
I wouldn't get too hung up about possible values. What something as unusual, interesting and attractive (Eric L. would love the placement and clarity) as this would fetch at auction is anyone's guess. Depends on where it is sold, who is "there" (physically or on the internet), how much at least two of them want it and how much the bidders can afford on that day. Either way, I cannot see you "losing your shirt" if you have time to sell it properly.
One thing you have to remember though is that whatever sale result is published, 40-50% of it is usually going to the auctioneer. For you to get $20k back someone has to shell out about $35-$40k.
I am like you in that I don't like paying over the odds and, if there is time, I will research past sale results as well. However, there is a danger (that I see in myself) of getting too scientific about it all and becoming someone who "knows the price everything and the value of nothing".
I have bought very few collectables of any kind for more than $5,000, so this one would be way out of my comfort zone, but I'm not absolutely sure I would pay a really huge amount for it. It is not the Chapman LP, it is in a book (therefore tricky to display) and, as the other Paul said, it is sad to think that it was signed only hours before death. Maybe also somewhat ghoulish perhaps.
I presume it has a cast iron written provenance and the seller can trace it back to the original recipient somehow. If so, and you like it, just go for it. As the dealers always say, "where will you find another?".
Hi, Paul & Paul
I totally agree that it is a great piece and it would grace any collection. Good luck with your offer.
I also agree that 40-50% was a bit on the high side re the auctioneer's cut but I was reckoning on around 20%-25% buyer's premium (including things like credit card fees and sales tax) and around 20%-25% seller's premium (including sales tax etc.) I think Heritage charge 20% seller's premium for $1k+ items. Maybe 30-40% would have been a fairer estimate for the auctioneer's total cut of the published "realised price" - but it is still a fair amount..
Good luck! I have been following this. It is a superb item. How many are known signed that day again? A different animal yes (to me, that would be one of those holiday 79/80 cards), but this, signed Dec. 8th, is almost alien in comparison.
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