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On the open market in a major auction house, research and notarized statements will never trump PSA/DNA or JSA because without a pass from whichever company they use for authentication, they will not run the item.
Selling to experienced collectors will work without a recognized LOA but they will NEVER pay true market value.
I'm betting you aren't paying market value for this item.
The trick is finding authentic autographs that will pass 3rd party authentication because that is where the money can be made like it or not.
Most collectors on this forum who are experienced are constantly looking for steals because of their knowledge of autographs.
Mickey Mantle unauthenticated autographed baseballs can occasionally be picked up for $200 or less on Ebay. Spend $75 for a JSA LOA and you can sell it for $450 rather easily if the autograph and ball are nice. Try to find a nice one authenticated by JSA for less than $450. It will rarely happen. You might find weak signatures or very toned baseballs for a bargain that are authenticated but not nice white baseballs with strong signatures.
Not a bad profit margin for having a good knowledge of autographs.
For most members here, this is a hobby and they are passionate about it. But I guarantee the reason most hate the forgeries on Ebay is because of the devaluation of their authentic items so in reality monetary value makes a difference to even the most passionate collectors.
I fully understand your position and agree that it is possible for provenance to trump a 3rd party opinion for a collector but most collectors eventually sell some things or either their heirs do.
Right now, PSA/DNA or JSA LOAs sell items because regardless of their true accuracy, hundreds of thousands of collectors blindly accept their LOA as proof an item is authentic.
We all know they make mistakes. They are very good on some autographs and probably very bad on others. We never know who actually looks at the autograph which is bad. They sometimes reverse their own opinions which is problematic.
I have never studied Michael Jackson so my opinion is worthless but on the authenticated ones I have looked at I have not seen the "circled" dot of the "i" so that in itself would deter me but perhaps there are many examples of this dotting of the "i" and I just haven't seen them.
You have a good eye and I am sure have studied Jackson thoroughly so your opinion should be sufficient for your peace of mind.
While your Thriller may check out as legit, be very careful. You should never rely on the "seller" to be telling the truth. There has been fabulous provenance on MJ items (crazy fantastic absolutely cool stories - nothing anyone could even question, because it was spot on believable, and the source was impeccable) - and it turned out the sellers were lying and were the forgers themselves. Again this probably isn't the case in this situation but be aware, if someone forges, they make excellent believable stories as well, and ones that check out. The largest money made to date that I am aware of, of MJ forged items was MJ's own costume designers.... who goofed by adding an extra L in Michael's first name because they didn't know that the big swoop at the end of Michaels name actually IS the L - so there were two L's. He was busted wide open by us when he signed an item that was made after MJ died and the manuf of that item stated the same. But nothing of course was done about it legally because Juliens buried that item fast (pulled it and more than likely destroyed it because they were involved in the cover up as well). They and the designers made MILLIONS off those sales. He (the forger) hasn't since forged on anything that I can see (he had a specific way of signing).... but he is now auctioning things thru Juliens again (clothing said to be Michaels).... of course since he created the originals, it isn't hard to make more....$$ This is all just a word of caution.
And again if you are happy with this Thriller - that is wonderful for you. :) That is the important part.
-w
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